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Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Win Probability

RB Leipzig has a 38% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Sat, Jan 16, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
4-0-5Rating 1764
Form: WLWWL
vs
Model Probability
34%
Draw 28%
38%
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
6-0-3Rating 1838
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

RB Leipzig

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.0%53.1%15.4%<1%<1%
If Win 1.6%63.6%15.5%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%51.8%16.7%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%46.8%16.6%<1%<1%

Hoffenheim

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%4.8%5.9%4.2%<1%
If Win <1%7.6%8.2%1.7%<1%
If Draw <1%4.4%4.6%3.7%<1%
If Lose <1%2.4%3.5%6.2%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

HoffenheimStatRB Leipzig
9Games played9
1.8Avg goals scored3.0
1.9Avg goals conceded1.4
44% / 0% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss67% / 0% / 33%
60% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
HoffenheimStatRB Leipzig
5All-time wins (20 meetings, 4 draws)11
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-03-20): RB Leipzig 5–0 Hoffenheim