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Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Win Probability

RB Leipzig has a 49% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
1-4-4Rating 1685
Form: LDDDW
vs
Model Probability
25%
Draw 26%
49%
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
6-0-3Rating 1838
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

RB Leipzig

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.0%51.9%15.4%<1%<1%
If Win 1.4%62.3%13.9%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%50.2%16.5%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%42.2%16.9%<1%<1%

Union Berlin

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%29.5%13.1%
If Win <1%<1%<1%23.5%7.5%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%30.3%12.1%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%34.5%16.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Union BerlinStatRB Leipzig
9Games played9
0.8Avg goals scored3.0
2.3Avg goals conceded1.4
11% / 44% / 44%Win / Draw / Loss67% / 0% / 33%
20% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Union BerlinStatRB Leipzig
6All-time wins (14 meetings, 2 draws)6
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-04-24): RB Leipzig 3–1 Union Berlin