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Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 51% chance to win.
Final Score: Dortmund 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen
Sat, Apr 11, 2026 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Dortmund
19-7-2Rating 1918
Form: WWWWL
0 – 1
Model Probability
51%
Draw 26%
23%
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
14-7-7Rating 1853
Form: WDDDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DortmundStatBayer Leverkusen
28Games played28
2.1Avg goals scored2.1
1.0Avg goals conceded1.4
68% / 25% / 7%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
79% Home win % / Away win % 43%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DortmundStatBayer Leverkusen
18All-time wins (32 meetings, 6 draws)8
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
2.1Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2025-11-29): Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 Dortmund