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← Home / Germany / Bundesliga / Matches / Dortmund vs Bayern Munich

Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 48% chance to win.
Final Score: Dortmund 2–3 Bayern Munich
Sat, Feb 28, 2026 · 5:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Dortmund
15-7-1Rating 1918
Form: DWWWW
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2 – 3
Model Probability
26%
Draw 27%
48%
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich
19-3-1Rating 2054
Form: WWWDL
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Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DortmundStatBayern Munich
23Games played23
2.1Avg goals scored3.7
1.0Avg goals conceded0.9
65% / 30% / 4%Win / Draw / Loss83% / 13% / 4%
82% Home win % / Away win % 82%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
DortmundStatBayern Munich
8All-time wins (32 meetings, 6 draws)18
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.2Average goals2.2
Last meeting (2025-10-18): Bayern Munich 2–1 Dortmund

Recent Results

Dortmund

@ RB Leipzig
Sat, Feb 21, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2
vs Mainz
Fri, Feb 13, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4–0
@ Wolfsburg
Sat, Feb 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1
vs Heidenheim
Sun, Feb 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3–2
@ Union Berlin
Sat, Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3–0

Bayern Munich

vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat, Feb 21, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3–2
@ Werder Bremen
Sat, Feb 14, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3–0
vs Hoffenheim
Sun, Feb 8, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5–1
@ Hamburger SV
Sat, Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2
vs Augsburg
Sat, Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2