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Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 3, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Paris FC vs PSG Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 56% chance to win.

3-2-0 · Rating 1773
Form: WDWWD
VS
2-2-1 · Rating 1977
Form: WWLDD
Model Probability
20%
56%
Draw 24%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 62.3%91.1%4.1%<1%<1%
If Win 67.7%93.5%3.4%<1%<1%
If Draw 56.9%89.4%4.8%<1%<1%
If Lose 51.9%85.7%5.9%<1%<1%

Paris FC

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.2%15.2%9.3%2.3%<1%
If Win 3.6%22.0%11.3%1.2%<1%
If Draw 1.8%15.4%9.2%1.9%<1%
If Lose 1.0%12.1%9.5%3.2%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Paris FCStatPSG
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.6
0.6Avg goals conceded1.4
60% / 40% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 40% / 20%
67% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Paris FCStatPSG
1All-time wins (2 meetings, 0 draws)1
1Last 2 meetings (0 draws)1
1.5Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-05-17): Paris FC 2–1 PSG