Premier League
Sat, Dec 19, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Arsenal vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Win Probability
Arsenal has a 63% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 21%
Model Prediction Through Season
Manchester Utd
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 27.1% | 9.4% | 3.0% |
| If Win | 1.4% | 37.4% | 10.2% | 1.1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 28.1% | 9.6% | 2.5% |
| If Lose | <1% | 23.0% | 8.3% | 3.2% |
Arsenal
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 42.9% | 95.8% | 1.6% | <1% |
| If Win | 46.2% | 97.7% | 1.1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 36.8% | 95.9% | 1.5% | <1% |
| If Lose | 31.2% | 92.6% | 2.5% | <1% |
| Arsenal | Stat | Manchester Utd |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals scored | 1.6 |
| 0.8 | Avg goals conceded | 1.6 |
| 80% / 0% / 20% | Win / Draw / Loss | 20% / 40% / 40% |
| 100% | Home win % / Away win % | 0% |
| Arsenal | Stat | Manchester Utd |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | All-time wins (32 meetings, 8 draws) | 13 |
| 3 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 1 |
| 1.4 | Average goals | 1.5 |