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Premier League
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 61% chance to win.

0-2-3 · Rating 1836
Form: LDDLL
VS
4-0-1 · Rating 2074
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
17%
61%
Draw 22%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 42.6%95.9%1.9%<1%
If Win 48.3%97.6%1.3%<1%
If Draw 37.6%95.9%1.8%<1%
If Lose 32.1%93.1%2.3%<1%

Tottenham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%1.8%1.1%40.8%
If Win <1%3.1%2.1%29.4%
If Draw <1%1.6%1.2%40.3%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%44.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

TottenhamStatArsenal
5Games played5
0.4Avg goals scored1.6
1.6Avg goals conceded0.8
0% / 40% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss80% / 0% / 20%
0% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
TottenhamStatArsenal
10All-time wins (33 meetings, 8 draws)15
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
1.5Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-02-22): Tottenham 1–4 Arsenal