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Derby vs Oxford Utd Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 54% chance to win.
Final Score: Derby 1–0 Oxford Utd
Sat, Apr 18, 2026 · 12:30 PM BST
Premier League
Derby
18-9-15Rating 1591
Form: LWLWW
1 – 0
Model Probability
54%
Draw 25%
21%
Premier League
Oxford Utd
10-14-18Rating 1482
Form: WDDLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatOxford Utd
42Games played42
1.5Avg goals scored1.0
1.3Avg goals conceded1.3
43% / 21% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss24% / 33% / 43%
43% Home win % / Away win % 19%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatOxford Utd
3All-time wins (7 meetings, 2 draws)2
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2025-10-18): Oxford Utd 1–0 Derby