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Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 59% chance to win.
Final Score: Tottenham 1–4 Arsenal
Sun, Feb 22, 2026 · 4:30 PM GMT
Premier League
Tottenham
7-8-11Rating 1867
Form: LLDDL
1 – 4
Model Probability
18%
Draw 23%
59%
Premier League
Arsenal
17-7-3Rating 2091
Form: DDWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

TottenhamStatArsenal
26Games played27
1.4Avg goals scored1.9
1.4Avg goals conceded0.7
27% / 31% / 42%Win / Draw / Loss63% / 26% / 11%
15% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
TottenhamStatArsenal
10All-time wins (32 meetings, 8 draws)14
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
1.5Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2025-11-23): Arsenal 4–1 Tottenham