Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-20 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-26 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-01-21 | 1–1 | Draw | Watford 52% | |
| 2025-10-01 | 2–2 | Draw | Portsmouth 44% | |
| 2025-04-21 | 1–0 | Portsmouth +1 | Portsmouth 42% | |
| 2024-12-26 | 2–1 | Watford +1 | Watford 54% | |
| 2012-01-02 | 2–0 | Portsmouth +2 | Portsmouth 45% | |
| 2011-11-19 | 2–0 | Watford +2 | Watford 40% | |
| 2011-01-01 | 3–0 | Watford +3 | Watford 43% | |
| 2010-10-16 | 3–2 | Portsmouth +1 | Portsmouth 42% |