Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | 5–1 | Bolton +4 | Bolton 49% | |
| 2026-01-20 | 0–0 | Draw | Stevenage 42% | |
| 2025-05-03 | 1–1 | Draw | Bolton 51% | |
| 2024-10-29 | 1–4 | Bolton +3 | Stevenage 39% | |
| 2024-03-29 | 0–0 | Draw | Bolton 40% | |
| 2023-10-03 | 3–2 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 51% | |
| 2021-02-13 | 1–0 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 47% | |
| 2020-11-21 | 1–2 | Bolton +1 | Stevenage 40% |