Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-16 | 0–1 | Lincoln +1 | Oxford Utd 44% | |
| 2023-10-31 | 0–2 | Oxford Utd +2 | Lincoln 42% | |
| 2023-03-04 | 1–0 | Lincoln +1 | Lincoln 49% | |
| 2022-08-16 | 1–2 | Lincoln +1 | Oxford Utd 46% | |
| 2022-01-08 | 2–0 | Lincoln +2 | Oxford Utd 37% | |
| 2021-08-28 | 3–1 | Oxford Utd +2 | Oxford Utd 45% | |
| 2021-03-26 | 2–1 | Oxford Utd +1 | Oxford Utd 41% | |
| 2020-09-12 | 2–0 | Lincoln +2 | Lincoln 41% | |
| 2019-12-26 | 1–0 | Oxford Utd +1 | Oxford Utd 58% | |
| 2019-09-21 | 0–6 | Oxford Utd +6 | Lincoln 42% | |
| 2011-04-30 | 2–1 | Oxford Utd +1 | Oxford Utd 54% | |
| 2011-03-01 | 3–1 | Lincoln +2 | Lincoln 40% |