Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-13 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-27 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-05-12 | 1–1 | Draw | Southampton 53% | |
| 2026-05-09 | 0–0 | Draw | Southampton 36% | |
| 2026-01-04 | 4–0 | Middlesbrough +4 | Middlesbrough 42% | |
| 2025-09-27 | 1–1 | Draw | Southampton 44% | |
| 2024-03-29 | 1–1 | Draw | Southampton 58% | |
| 2023-09-23 | 2–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 36% | |
| 2017-05-13 | 1–2 | Southampton +1 | Southampton 40% | |
| 2016-12-11 | 1–0 | Southampton +1 | Southampton 51% | |
| 2012-04-21 | 2–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Southampton 38% | |
| 2011-10-29 | 3–0 | Southampton +3 | Southampton 44% |