Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-26 | 2–0 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 41% | |
| 2021-09-15 | 0–2 | Middlesbrough +2 | Nottingham 41% | |
| 2021-01-20 | 1–2 | Middlesbrough +1 | Nottingham 39% | |
| 2020-10-31 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 50% | |
| 2020-03-02 | 2–2 | Draw | Nottingham 39% | |
| 2019-12-10 | 1–1 | Draw | Nottingham 56% | |
| 2019-04-22 | 3–0 | Nottingham +3 | Nottingham 42% | |
| 2018-10-06 | 0–2 | Nottingham +2 | Middlesbrough 50% | |
| 2018-04-07 | 2–0 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 58% | |
| 2017-08-19 | 2–1 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 39% | |
| 2016-01-23 | 0–1 | Nottingham +1 | Middlesbrough 58% | |
| 2015-09-19 | 1–2 | Middlesbrough +1 | Nottingham 37% | |
| 2015-03-07 | 2–1 | Nottingham +1 | Middlesbrough 40% | |
| 2014-12-26 | 3–0 | Middlesbrough +3 | Middlesbrough 53% | |
| 2014-03-11 | 1–1 | Draw | Middlesbrough 39% | |
| 2013-09-17 | 2–2 | Draw | Nottingham 51% | |
| 2013-04-16 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 38% | |
| 2012-11-06 | 0–0 | Draw | Nottingham 38% | |
| 2012-02-14 | 2–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 59% | |
| 2011-10-18 | 2–0 | Nottingham +2 | Middlesbrough 39% | |
| 2011-03-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Nottingham 41% | |
| 2010-10-19 | 1–0 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 48% | |
| 2010-02-20 | 1–0 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 47% |