Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-20 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-27 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-05-17 | 3–2 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 53% | |
| 2025-11-01 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester Utd 39% | |
| 2025-04-01 | 1–0 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 49% | |
| 2024-12-07 | 2–3 | Nottingham +1 | Manchester Utd 50% | |
| 2023-12-30 | 2–1 | Nottingham +1 | Manchester Utd 39% | |
| 2023-08-26 | 3–2 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 59% | |
| 2023-04-16 | 0–2 | Manchester Utd +2 | Manchester Utd 59% | |
| 2022-12-27 | 3–0 | Manchester Utd +3 | Manchester Utd 61% |