Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-23 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-31 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-01-07 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 64% | |
| 2025-08-31 | 2–1 | Brighton +1 | Manchester City 39% | |
| 2025-03-15 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester City 53% | |
| 2024-11-09 | 2–1 | Brighton +1 | Manchester City 56% | |
| 2024-04-25 | 0–4 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 66% | |
| 2023-10-21 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 73% | |
| 2023-05-24 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 60% | |
| 2022-10-22 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 74% | |
| 2022-04-20 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 80% | |
| 2021-10-23 | 1–4 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 55% | |
| 2021-05-18 | 3–2 | Brighton +1 | Manchester City 72% | |
| 2021-01-13 | 1–0 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 79% | |
| 2020-07-11 | 0–5 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 57% | |
| 2019-08-31 | 4–0 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 78% | |
| 2019-05-12 | 1–4 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 77% | |
| 2018-09-29 | 2–0 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 75% | |
| 2018-05-09 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 80% | |
| 2017-08-12 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 50% |