Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-02-25 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 77% | |
| 2011-10-01 | 0–4 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 44% | |
| 2011-04-25 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 41% | |
| 2010-09-11 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 48% | |
| 2010-01-11 | 4–1 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 46% |