Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-01 | 4–0 | Oxford Utd +4 | Oxford Utd 56% | |
| 2023-09-16 | 0–3 | Oxford Utd +3 | Fleetwood 39% | |
| 2023-01-14 | 1–2 | Oxford Utd +1 | Fleetwood 43% | |
| 2022-11-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Oxford Utd 47% | |
| 2022-04-15 | 2–3 | Oxford Utd +1 | Oxford Utd 42% | |
| 2021-11-23 | 3–1 | Oxford Utd +2 | Oxford Utd 50% | |
| 2021-01-30 | 1–0 | Oxford Utd +1 | Oxford Utd 46% | |
| 2020-10-31 | 2–0 | Fleetwood +2 | Fleetwood 48% | |
| 2019-09-07 | 2–1 | Fleetwood +1 | Fleetwood 45% | |
| 2019-01-12 | 2–2 | Draw | Fleetwood 44% | |
| 2018-08-11 | 0–2 | Fleetwood +2 | Oxford Utd 43% | |
| 2018-04-10 | 0–1 | Fleetwood +1 | Oxford Utd 39% | |
| 2017-10-28 | 2–0 | Fleetwood +2 | Fleetwood 42% | |
| 2017-04-05 | 1–3 | Fleetwood +2 | Oxford Utd 44% | |
| 2016-08-17 | 2–0 | Fleetwood +2 | Fleetwood 47% | |
| 2014-04-05 | 0–2 | Fleetwood +2 | Oxford Utd 40% | |
| 2013-11-30 | 1–1 | Draw | Fleetwood 45% | |
| 2013-02-12 | 1–2 | Fleetwood +1 | Oxford Utd 45% | |
| 2013-01-26 | 3–0 | Fleetwood +3 | Fleetwood 38% |