Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-27 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-19 | Scheduled | |||
| 2025-12-30 | 0–2 | Everton +2 | Nottingham 41% | |
| 2025-12-06 | 3–0 | Everton +3 | Everton 48% | |
| 2025-04-12 | 0–1 | Everton +1 | Nottingham 55% | |
| 2024-12-29 | 0–2 | Nottingham +2 | Nottingham 37% | |
| 2024-04-21 | 2–0 | Everton +2 | Everton 48% | |
| 2023-12-02 | 0–1 | Everton +1 | Nottingham 46% | |
| 2023-03-05 | 2–2 | Draw | Nottingham 49% | |
| 2022-08-20 | 1–1 | Draw | Everton 40% |