Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | 1–2 | Bolton +1 | Plymouth 45% | |
| 2025-08-09 | 2–0 | Bolton +2 | Bolton 39% | |
| 2023-01-07 | 0–0 | Draw | Bolton 41% | |
| 2022-08-27 | 2–0 | Plymouth +2 | Plymouth 44% | |
| 2022-03-12 | 0–1 | Plymouth +1 | Bolton 38% | |
| 2021-10-19 | 3–0 | Plymouth +3 | Plymouth 50% |