Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | 0–1 | Mansfield +1 | Bolton 55% | |
| 2025-12-09 | 0–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 36% | |
| 2025-01-01 | 2–1 | Mansfield +1 | Mansfield 39% | |
| 2024-12-03 | 3–1 | Bolton +2 | Bolton 50% | |
| 2021-02-17 | 2–3 | Bolton +1 | Mansfield 45% | |
| 2020-11-03 | 1–1 | Draw | Bolton 50% |