Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | 2–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 55% | |
| 2025-10-11 | 3–0 | Burton +3 | Bolton 38% | |
| 2025-03-08 | 1–2 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 43% | |
| 2024-10-19 | 2–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 57% | |
| 2024-01-01 | 1–0 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 63% | |
| 2023-08-26 | 1–1 | Draw | Bolton 37% | |
| 2023-04-18 | 1–1 | Draw | Bolton 46% | |
| 2022-10-25 | 2–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 56% | |
| 2022-02-15 | 3–1 | Burton +2 | Burton 42% | |
| 2021-09-06 | 0–0 | Draw | Bolton 42% | |
| 2020-03-10 | 2–2 | Draw | Burton 57% | |
| 2020-01-01 | 3–4 | Burton +1 | Burton 37% | |
| 2018-04-28 | 2–0 | Burton +2 | Burton 43% | |
| 2017-12-16 | 0–1 | Burton +1 | Bolton 47% |