Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | 0–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 39% | |
| 2025-09-06 | 3–0 | Bolton +3 | Bolton 52% | |
| 2022-02-19 | 4–0 | Bolton +4 | Bolton 51% | |
| 2021-08-14 | 3–3 | Draw | AFC Wimbledon 50% | |
| 2020-03-07 | 0–0 | Draw | AFC Wimbledon 50% | |
| 2019-12-07 | 2–2 | Draw | Bolton 44% | |
| 2017-03-04 | 1–1 | Draw | Bolton 57% | |
| 2016-08-13 | 1–2 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 38% |