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Accrington vs Fleetwood Prediction & Win Probability

Accrington has a 39% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
League Two
Accrington
4-7-3Rating 1193
Form: DWDWD
vs
Model Probability
39%
Draw 28%
33%
League Two
Fleetwood
4-5-5Rating 1228
Form: WLLWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Fleetwood

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.9%1.9%21.1%2.4%
If Win 2.7%2.7%23.2%1.2%
If Draw 1.7%1.7%18.9%2.1%
If Lose 1.5%1.5%16.3%3.0%

Accrington

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.2%1.2%12.7%4.7%
If Win 1.1%1.1%16.4%2.5%
If Draw <1%<1%11.9%4.3%
If Lose <1%<1%10.6%4.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AccringtonStatFleetwood
14Games played14
1.6Avg goals scored1.3
1.2Avg goals conceded1.3
29% / 50% / 21%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 36% / 36%
43% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AccringtonStatFleetwood
5All-time wins (17 meetings, 3 draws)9
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
1.3Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-04-11): Accrington 1–2 Fleetwood