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Accrington vs Exeter Prediction & Win Probability

Accrington has a 38% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Mar 13, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
League Two
Accrington
4-7-3Rating 1198
Form: DWDWD
vs
Model Probability
38%
Draw 28%
34%
League Two
Exeter
5-4-5Rating 1243
Form: LWWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Exeter

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 4.2%4.2%33.5%<1%
If Win 6.7%6.7%39.4%<1%
If Draw 4.4%4.4%31.7%<1%
If Lose 2.7%2.7%27.2%1.4%

Accrington

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.1%1.1%15.1%3.4%
If Win 1.4%1.4%17.6%2.4%
If Draw <1%<1%13.9%3.8%
If Lose <1%<1%10.7%4.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AccringtonStatExeter
14Games played14
1.6Avg goals scored0.8
1.2Avg goals conceded0.6
29% / 50% / 21%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 29% / 36%
43% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AccringtonStatExeter
4All-time wins (15 meetings, 2 draws)9
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.1Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-08-22): Exeter 2–0 Accrington