Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | 2–0 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 77% | |
| 2025-08-16 | 0–4 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 49% | |
| 2025-05-02 | 1–0 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 67% | |
| 2024-10-20 | 1–2 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 72% | |
| 2024-05-04 | 5–1 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 84% | |
| 2023-09-30 | 2–1 | Wolves +1 | Manchester City 70% | |
| 2023-01-22 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 80% | |
| 2022-09-17 | 0–3 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 64% | |
| 2022-05-11 | 1–5 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 66% | |
| 2021-12-11 | 1–0 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 76% | |
| 2021-03-02 | 4–1 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 80% | |
| 2020-09-21 | 1–3 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 51% | |
| 2019-12-27 | 3–2 | Wolves +1 | Manchester City 57% | |
| 2019-10-06 | 0–2 | Wolves +2 | Manchester City 78% | |
| 2019-01-14 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 75% | |
| 2018-08-25 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 62% | |
| 2012-04-22 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 70% | |
| 2011-10-29 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 71% | |
| 2011-01-15 | 4–3 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 62% | |
| 2010-10-30 | 2–1 | Wolves +1 | Manchester City 39% |