Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-17 | 0–1 | Watford +1 | Watford 41% | |
| 2023-11-11 | 5–0 | Watford +5 | Watford 52% | |
| 2023-01-21 | 1–1 | Draw | Watford 56% | |
| 2022-09-03 | 1–1 | Draw | Rotherham 38% | |
| 2021-03-16 | 1–4 | Watford +3 | Watford 57% | |
| 2020-12-08 | 2–0 | Watford +2 | Watford 74% | |
| 2015-02-24 | 3–0 | Watford +3 | Watford 60% | |
| 2014-08-19 | 0–2 | Watford +2 | Rotherham 38% |