Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-30 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-20 | 5–3 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 70% | |
| 2026-01-01 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester City 57% | |
| 2025-12-06 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 68% | |
| 2017-03-05 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 61% | |
| 2016-08-13 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 59% | |
| 2016-02-02 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 60% | |
| 2015-12-26 | 4–1 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 73% | |
| 2015-01-01 | 3–2 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 73% | |
| 2014-12-03 | 1–4 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 52% | |
| 2014-04-16 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester City 81% | |
| 2013-11-10 | 1–0 | Sunderland +1 | Manchester City 56% | |
| 2012-12-26 | 1–0 | Sunderland +1 | Manchester City 50% | |
| 2012-10-06 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 63% | |
| 2012-03-31 | 3–3 | Draw | Manchester City 67% | |
| 2012-01-01 | 1–0 | Sunderland +1 | Manchester City 55% | |
| 2011-04-03 | 5–0 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 53% | |
| 2010-08-29 | 1–0 | Sunderland +1 | Sunderland 38% | |
| 2010-03-14 | 1–1 | Draw | Sunderland 37% |