Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-20 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-19 | 2–1 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 39% | |
| 2025-12-29 | 1–2 | Sheffield Utd +1 | Stoke 43% | |
| 2025-12-06 | 4–0 | Sheffield Utd +4 | Sheffield Utd 43% | |
| 2025-04-25 | 0–2 | Sheffield Utd +2 | Sheffield Utd 42% | |
| 2024-10-26 | 2–0 | Sheffield Utd +2 | Sheffield Utd 52% | |
| 2023-01-14 | 3–1 | Sheffield Utd +2 | Sheffield Utd 60% | |
| 2022-10-08 | 3–1 | Stoke +2 | Sheffield Utd 37% | |
| 2022-04-02 | 1–0 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 37% | |
| 2021-10-16 | 2–1 | Sheffield Utd +1 | Sheffield Utd 41% | |
| 2019-05-05 | 2–2 | Draw | Sheffield Utd 42% | |
| 2018-10-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Sheffield Utd 39% |