Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-27 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-10 | Scheduled | |||
| 2018-12-29 | 0–0 | Draw | Stoke 49% | |
| 2018-10-02 | 2–0 | Stoke +2 | Stoke 58% | |
| 2012-05-13 | 2–2 | Draw | Stoke 49% | |
| 2011-11-06 | 5–0 | Bolton +5 | Bolton 39% | |
| 2011-01-15 | 2–0 | Stoke +2 | Stoke 44% | |
| 2010-10-16 | 2–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 42% | |
| 2010-04-17 | 1–2 | Bolton +1 | Stoke 55% |