Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-06 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-08 | 3–1 | Southampton +2 | Southampton 54% | |
| 2026-04-18 | 1–2 | Southampton +1 | Southampton 45% | |
| 2025-10-18 | 0–0 | Draw | Southampton 50% | |
| 2024-01-20 | 1–3 | Southampton +2 | Southampton 42% | |
| 2023-12-26 | 5–0 | Southampton +5 | Southampton 56% | |
| 2018-05-08 | 0–1 | Southampton +1 | Swansea 41% | |
| 2017-08-12 | 0–0 | Draw | Southampton 50% | |
| 2017-01-31 | 2–1 | Swansea +1 | Southampton 42% | |
| 2016-09-18 | 1–0 | Southampton +1 | Southampton 53% | |
| 2016-02-13 | 0–1 | Southampton +1 | Southampton 38% | |
| 2015-09-26 | 3–1 | Southampton +2 | Southampton 44% | |
| 2015-02-01 | 0–1 | Swansea +1 | Southampton 59% | |
| 2014-09-20 | 0–1 | Southampton +1 | Swansea 39% | |
| 2014-05-03 | 0–1 | Southampton +1 | Swansea 36% | |
| 2013-10-06 | 2–0 | Southampton +2 | Southampton 46% | |
| 2013-04-20 | 0–0 | Draw | Swansea 48% | |
| 2012-11-10 | 1–1 | Draw | Swansea 40% |