Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-01 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-12 | Scheduled | |||
| 2024-04-20 | 2–1 | Cardiff +1 | Southampton 53% | |
| 2023-12-02 | 2–0 | Southampton +2 | Southampton 54% | |
| 2019-02-09 | 1–2 | Cardiff +1 | Southampton 52% | |
| 2018-12-08 | 1–0 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 41% | |
| 2014-04-12 | 0–1 | Cardiff +1 | Southampton 65% | |
| 2013-12-26 | 0–3 | Southampton +3 | Southampton 38% | |
| 2012-01-31 | 1–1 | Draw | Southampton 41% | |
| 2011-09-28 | 2–1 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 41% |