Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-03 | 3–0 | Rotherham +3 | Rotherham 44% | |
| 2021-01-16 | 0–1 | Rotherham +1 | Derby 45% | |
| 2019-03-30 | 6–1 | Derby +5 | Derby 59% | |
| 2018-09-15 | 1–0 | Rotherham +1 | Derby 40% | |
| 2017-05-07 | 1–1 | Draw | Derby 55% | |
| 2016-11-19 | 3–0 | Derby +3 | Derby 57% | |
| 2016-03-12 | 3–3 | Draw | Derby 43% | |
| 2015-10-31 | 3–0 | Derby +3 | Derby 58% | |
| 2015-02-17 | 3–3 | Draw | Derby 51% | |
| 2014-08-09 | 1–0 | Derby +1 | Derby 53% |