Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-18 | 0–0 | Draw | Luton 40% | |
| 2024-08-24 | 1–0 | Preston +1 | Preston 39% | |
| 2023-02-15 | 1–1 | Draw | Preston 41% | |
| 2022-08-13 | 0–1 | Preston +1 | Luton 43% | |
| 2022-03-16 | 4–0 | Luton +4 | Luton 46% | |
| 2021-10-30 | 2–0 | Preston +2 | Preston 41% | |
| 2021-03-20 | 0–1 | Luton +1 | Preston 42% | |
| 2020-12-12 | 3–0 | Luton +3 | Luton 41% | |
| 2020-06-20 | 1–1 | Draw | Preston 39% | |
| 2019-12-14 | 2–1 | Preston +1 | Preston 56% |