Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-29 | 2–1 | Southampton +1 | Southampton 62% | |
| 2023-08-19 | 1–2 | Southampton +1 | Southampton 39% | |
| 2011-05-02 | 1–3 | Southampton +2 | Southampton 52% | |
| 2010-08-07 | 0–1 | Plymouth +1 | Southampton 42% |