Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-16 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-07 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-03-04 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester City 74% | |
| 2025-12-27 | 1–2 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 57% | |
| 2025-03-08 | 1–0 | Nottingham +1 | Manchester City 38% | |
| 2024-04-28 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 76% | |
| 2023-09-23 | 2–0 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 79% | |
| 2023-02-18 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 69% | |
| 2022-08-31 | 6–0 | Manchester City +6 | Manchester City 78% |