Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | 0–2 | Burton +2 | Northampton 42% | |
| 2025-12-26 | 5–1 | Burton +4 | Burton 39% | |
| 2025-01-04 | 0–1 | Northampton +1 | Burton 42% | |
| 2024-08-31 | 0–0 | Draw | Northampton 47% | |
| 2024-02-24 | 0–2 | Northampton +2 | Burton 46% | |
| 2023-11-11 | 2–0 | Northampton +2 | Burton 36% | |
| 2021-02-13 | 0–2 | Burton +2 | Northampton 44% | |
| 2020-11-21 | 1–3 | Northampton +2 | Burton 45% | |
| 2015-04-25 | 3–1 | Burton +2 | Burton 55% | |
| 2014-10-11 | 1–2 | Burton +1 | Northampton 44% | |
| 2014-04-12 | 1–0 | Northampton +1 | Burton 40% | |
| 2013-12-26 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 56% | |
| 2013-01-19 | 1–0 | Northampton +1 | Northampton 44% | |
| 2012-09-29 | 3–3 | Draw | Burton 46% | |
| 2012-03-20 | 0–1 | Northampton +1 | Burton 45% | |
| 2011-12-26 | 2–3 | Burton +1 | Burton 37% | |
| 2011-04-05 | 1–1 | Draw | Burton 41% | |
| 2011-03-01 | 2–3 | Burton +1 | Northampton 47% | |
| 2010-01-30 | 1–1 | Draw | Northampton 47% |