Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-25 | 0–1 | Millwall +1 | Luton 40% | |
| 2024-09-14 | 0–1 | Luton +1 | Millwall 43% | |
| 2023-04-07 | 0–0 | Draw | Millwall 43% | |
| 2023-02-28 | 2–2 | Draw | Luton 42% | |
| 2022-04-02 | 2–2 | Draw | Luton 48% | |
| 2021-10-16 | 0–2 | Luton +2 | Millwall 46% | |
| 2021-02-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Luton 39% | |
| 2020-10-20 | 2–0 | Millwall +2 | Millwall 46% | |
| 2020-01-01 | 3–1 | Millwall +2 | Millwall 57% | |
| 2019-10-02 | 1–1 | Draw | Luton 43% |