Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-03 | 2–3 | Sunderland +1 | Middlesbrough 40% | |
| 2024-09-21 | 1–0 | Sunderland +1 | Sunderland 45% | |
| 2024-02-04 | 1–1 | Draw | Middlesbrough 47% | |
| 2023-10-07 | 0–4 | Middlesbrough +4 | Sunderland 50% | |
| 2023-01-22 | 2–0 | Sunderland +2 | Sunderland 39% | |
| 2022-09-05 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 47% | |
| 2018-02-24 | 3–3 | Draw | Middlesbrough 45% | |
| 2017-11-05 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 56% | |
| 2017-04-26 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 46% | |
| 2016-08-21 | 1–2 | Middlesbrough +1 | Sunderland 47% |