Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-06 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-30 | 5–2 | Mansfield +3 | Mansfield 38% | |
| 2026-04-18 | 2–2 | Draw | Mansfield 38% | |
| 2025-10-18 | 0–2 | Mansfield +2 | Luton 51% | |
| 2018-04-02 | 2–1 | Luton +1 | Luton 51% | |
| 2017-08-26 | 2–2 | Draw | Mansfield 41% | |
| 2017-04-17 | 1–1 | Draw | Mansfield 37% | |
| 2016-10-22 | 1–1 | Draw | Luton 51% | |
| 2016-01-23 | 0–2 | Luton +2 | Mansfield 42% | |
| 2015-09-19 | 1–0 | Luton +1 | Luton 47% | |
| 2015-02-17 | 1–0 | Mansfield +1 | Luton 39% | |
| 2014-11-29 | 3–0 | Luton +3 | Luton 51% |