Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester Utd 47% | |
| 2025-08-30 | 3–2 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 52% | |
| 2024-04-27 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester Utd 66% | |
| 2023-09-23 | 0–1 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 44% | |
| 2022-02-08 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester Utd 52% | |
| 2021-12-30 | 3–1 | Manchester Utd +2 | Manchester Utd 66% | |
| 2021-04-18 | 3–1 | Manchester Utd +2 | Manchester Utd 74% | |
| 2021-01-12 | 0–1 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 50% | |
| 2020-01-22 | 0–2 | Burnley +2 | Manchester Utd 62% | |
| 2019-12-28 | 0–2 | Manchester Utd +2 | Manchester Utd 43% | |
| 2019-01-29 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester Utd 75% | |
| 2018-09-02 | 0–2 | Manchester Utd +2 | Manchester Utd 53% | |
| 2018-01-20 | 0–1 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 49% | |
| 2017-12-26 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester Utd 64% | |
| 2017-04-23 | 0–2 | Manchester Utd +2 | Manchester Utd 51% | |
| 2016-10-29 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester Utd 58% | |
| 2015-02-11 | 3–1 | Manchester Utd +2 | Manchester Utd 69% | |
| 2014-08-30 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester Utd 42% | |
| 2010-01-16 | 3–0 | Manchester Utd +3 | Manchester Utd 43% |