Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-03-12 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 73% | |
| 2017-10-14 | 7–2 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 76% | |
| 2017-03-08 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester City 69% | |
| 2016-08-20 | 1–4 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 45% | |
| 2016-04-23 | 4–0 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 65% | |
| 2015-12-05 | 2–0 | Stoke +2 | Manchester City 49% | |
| 2015-02-11 | 1–4 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 49% | |
| 2014-08-30 | 0–1 | Stoke +1 | Manchester City 72% | |
| 2014-02-22 | 1–0 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 78% | |
| 2013-09-14 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester City 49% | |
| 2013-01-01 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 63% | |
| 2012-09-15 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 56% | |
| 2012-03-24 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 57% | |
| 2011-12-21 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 72% | |
| 2011-05-17 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 49% | |
| 2010-11-27 | 1–1 | Draw | Stoke 42% | |
| 2010-02-16 | 1–1 | Draw | Stoke 45% |