Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-30 | 2–0 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 86% | |
| 2023-08-27 | 1–2 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 66% | |
| 2021-01-30 | 1–0 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 83% | |
| 2020-10-31 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 60% | |
| 2020-01-21 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 61% | |
| 2019-12-29 | 2–0 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 75% |