Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-20 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-26 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-02-21 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 57% | |
| 2025-11-22 | 2–1 | Newcastle +1 | Manchester City 40% | |
| 2025-02-15 | 4–0 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 46% | |
| 2024-09-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 53% | |
| 2024-01-13 | 2–3 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 54% | |
| 2023-08-19 | 1–0 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 64% | |
| 2023-03-04 | 2–0 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 68% | |
| 2022-08-21 | 3–3 | Draw | Manchester City 58% | |
| 2022-05-08 | 5–0 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 80% | |
| 2021-12-19 | 0–4 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 72% | |
| 2021-05-14 | 3–4 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 74% | |
| 2020-12-26 | 2–0 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 78% | |
| 2020-07-08 | 5–0 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 73% | |
| 2019-11-30 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester City 66% | |
| 2019-01-29 | 2–1 | Newcastle +1 | Manchester City 72% | |
| 2018-09-01 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 78% | |
| 2018-01-20 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 83% | |
| 2017-12-27 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 72% | |
| 2016-04-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 63% | |
| 2015-10-03 | 6–1 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 76% | |
| 2015-02-21 | 5–0 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 71% | |
| 2014-08-17 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 60% | |
| 2014-01-12 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 56% | |
| 2013-08-19 | 4–0 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 69% | |
| 2013-03-30 | 4–0 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 71% | |
| 2012-12-15 | 1–3 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 51% | |
| 2012-05-06 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 46% | |
| 2011-11-19 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 62% | |
| 2010-12-26 | 1–3 | Manchester City +2 | Newcastle 36% | |
| 2010-10-03 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 52% |