Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-03 | 5–3 | West Brom +2 | West Brom 49% | |
| 2024-11-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Luton 40% | |
| 2023-01-14 | 2–3 | West Brom +1 | Luton 44% | |
| 2022-10-08 | 0–0 | Draw | West Brom 41% | |
| 2022-02-19 | 2–0 | Luton +2 | Luton 46% | |
| 2021-08-14 | 3–2 | West Brom +1 | West Brom 46% | |
| 2020-02-01 | 2–0 | West Brom +2 | West Brom 67% | |
| 2019-08-17 | 1–2 | West Brom +1 | Luton 37% |