Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-12 | 2–0 | Sunderland +2 | Sunderland 60% | |
| 2024-10-23 | 1–2 | Sunderland +1 | Luton 41% | |
| 2023-05-16 | 2–0 | Luton +2 | Luton 47% | |
| 2023-05-13 | 2–1 | Sunderland +1 | Sunderland 40% | |
| 2023-03-18 | 1–1 | Draw | Sunderland 39% | |
| 2022-10-29 | 1–1 | Draw | Luton 51% | |
| 2019-01-12 | 1–1 | Draw | Sunderland 47% | |
| 2018-08-11 | 1–1 | Draw | Sunderland 38% |