Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | 2–2 | Draw | Luton 41% | |
| 2025-09-20 | 3–1 | Lincoln +2 | Lincoln 40% | |
| 2018-01-01 | 4–2 | Luton +2 | Luton 53% | |
| 2017-09-02 | 0–0 | Draw | Lincoln 40% |