Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-03 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-30 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-05-15 | 4–2 | Aston Villa +2 | Aston Villa 42% | |
| 2025-11-01 | 2–0 | Liverpool +2 | Liverpool 54% | |
| 2025-02-19 | 2–2 | Draw | Liverpool 56% | |
| 2024-11-09 | 2–0 | Liverpool +2 | Liverpool 67% | |
| 2024-05-13 | 3–3 | Draw | Liverpool 41% | |
| 2023-09-03 | 3–0 | Liverpool +3 | Liverpool 56% | |
| 2023-05-20 | 1–1 | Draw | Liverpool 62% | |
| 2022-12-26 | 1–3 | Liverpool +2 | Liverpool 55% | |
| 2022-05-10 | 1–2 | Liverpool +1 | Liverpool 66% | |
| 2021-12-11 | 1–0 | Liverpool +1 | Liverpool 76% | |
| 2021-04-10 | 2–1 | Liverpool +1 | Liverpool 66% | |
| 2020-10-04 | 7–2 | Aston Villa +5 | Liverpool 60% | |
| 2020-07-05 | 2–0 | Liverpool +2 | Liverpool 76% | |
| 2019-11-02 | 1–2 | Liverpool +1 | Liverpool 68% | |
| 2016-02-14 | 0–6 | Liverpool +6 | Liverpool 45% | |
| 2015-09-26 | 3–2 | Liverpool +1 | Liverpool 59% | |
| 2015-01-17 | 0–2 | Liverpool +2 | Liverpool 50% | |
| 2014-09-13 | 0–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Liverpool 74% | |
| 2014-01-18 | 2–2 | Draw | Liverpool 69% | |
| 2013-08-24 | 0–1 | Liverpool +1 | Liverpool 39% | |
| 2013-03-31 | 1–2 | Liverpool +1 | Liverpool 44% | |
| 2012-12-15 | 1–3 | Aston Villa +2 | Liverpool 53% | |
| 2012-04-07 | 1–1 | Draw | Liverpool 57% | |
| 2011-12-18 | 0–2 | Liverpool +2 | Liverpool 40% | |
| 2011-05-22 | 1–0 | Aston Villa +1 | Liverpool 37% | |
| 2010-12-06 | 3–0 | Liverpool +3 | Liverpool 51% |