Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | 1–2 | Lincoln +1 | Lincoln 41% | |
| 2025-08-02 | 2–0 | Lincoln +2 | Lincoln 43% | |
| 2025-04-18 | 0–1 | Lincoln +1 | Reading 48% | |
| 2024-12-21 | 2–0 | Lincoln +2 | Lincoln 45% | |
| 2024-04-06 | 1–1 | Draw | Reading 39% | |
| 2023-12-16 | 1–1 | Draw | Lincoln 43% |