Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-20 | 0–1 | Liverpool +1 | Liverpool 79% | |
| 2024-12-26 | 3–1 | Liverpool +2 | Liverpool 85% | |
| 2023-05-15 | 0–3 | Liverpool +3 | Liverpool 57% | |
| 2022-12-30 | 2–1 | Liverpool +1 | Liverpool 69% | |
| 2022-02-10 | 2–0 | Liverpool +2 | Liverpool 75% | |
| 2021-12-28 | 1–0 | Leicester +1 | Liverpool 58% | |
| 2021-02-13 | 3–1 | Leicester +2 | Liverpool 38% | |
| 2020-11-22 | 3–0 | Liverpool +3 | Liverpool 62% | |
| 2019-12-26 | 0–4 | Liverpool +4 | Liverpool 45% | |
| 2019-10-05 | 2–1 | Liverpool +1 | Liverpool 69% | |
| 2019-01-30 | 1–1 | Draw | Liverpool 74% | |
| 2018-09-01 | 1–2 | Liverpool +1 | Liverpool 48% | |
| 2017-12-30 | 2–1 | Liverpool +1 | Liverpool 62% | |
| 2017-09-23 | 2–3 | Liverpool +1 | Liverpool 40% | |
| 2017-02-27 | 3–1 | Leicester +2 | Liverpool 50% | |
| 2016-09-10 | 4–1 | Liverpool +3 | Liverpool 48% | |
| 2016-02-02 | 2–0 | Leicester +2 | Leicester 51% | |
| 2015-12-26 | 1–0 | Liverpool +1 | Liverpool 38% | |
| 2015-01-01 | 2–2 | Draw | Liverpool 65% | |
| 2014-12-02 | 1–3 | Liverpool +2 | Liverpool 44% |